2016-2017 Winter Storm Names

2016-2017 Winter Storm Names

posted in: Weather Forecast | 15

2016-2017-winter-namesWell, it was coming and you all new it – last week the Weather Channel has released the names for this winters seasons winter storms,

AccuWeather is not on the bandwagon because “AccuWeather believes that naming winter storms by The Weather Channel will increase confusion in the public and the emergency management community.”

“In unilaterally deciding to name winter storms, The Weather Channel has confused media spin with science and public safety and is doing a disservice to the field of meteorology and public service,” said Dr. Joel N. Myers, AccuWeather Founder and President. He pointed to a reported statement by The Weather Channel’s spokesman that storms affecting many people would get names and that those affecting few people would not be named, highlighting the arbitrary nature of the unpublished criteria.

“We have explored this issue for 20 years,” continued Dr. Myers, “and have found that this is not good science and importantly will actually mislead the public. Winter storms are very different from hurricanes.”

TWC responds “It’s simply easier to communicate about a complex storm if it has a name, which our naming program has demonstrated,” said Bryan Norcross, senior hurricane specialist at The Weather Channel and compiler of the list. “Good communications benefits everyone.”


Argos (AR-gus): A city in Greece and in Greek mythology the home of a number of kings. People have lived in this location for the past 7,000 years.

Blanche:  The French word for white. From the Latin word blancus.

Caly (CAY-lee): A variation of Kaylee, short for Katherine. From the Greek name Aikaterine.

Decima (DEH-sih-mah): One of the Fates in Roman mythology

Europa (your-OH-pah): From Greek mythology, the name of a princess who was abducted by Zeus. Europe is named for her.

Fortis (FOR-tis): A Latin word for strong.

Gregory: Derived from the Latin name Gregorius, which came from the Greek word gregoros meaning watchful or alert.

Helena (HEH-leh-na): The Latin version of the Greek name, Helen. Helen of Troy was a mythological character described as the most beautiful woman in the world and appears in a variety of myths.

Iras (EYE-rus):A character in Shakespeare’s tragedy “Antony and Cleopatra”, a story about the Roman general and leader and his queen at the end of their lives.

Jupiter:The supreme god in Roman mythology, ultimately derived from Zeus plus pater, Latin for father.

Kori (KORE-ee): A version of Corey, which was derived from the Old Norse name, Korí.

Leo: The Ancient Latin word for lion.

Maya:A variation of Maia from Greek and Roman mythology. To Romans, Maia was the goddess of spring. The month of May is named in her honor.

Niko (NEE-koh): Short for the Greek name Nikolaos, which means victor of the people or people’s champion.

Orson: An English name that was ultimately derived from the Latin word for bear, ursus.

Pluto: A Latinized version of the Greek word ploutos meaning wealth.

Quid: Part of the Latin phrase quid pro quo meaning this for that.

Reggie: Short for Reginald, which is derived from the Latin Reginaldus, which is derived from Germanic words meaning advice and rule.

Stella: A Latin word meaning star.

Theseus (THEE-see-us): Theseus was the mythical king of Athens and was the son of Aethra by two fathers: Aegeus and Poseidon.

Ursa (ERR-sah): A feminine form of the Latin word ursus meaning bear.

Valerie: From Valeria, the feminine version of the Ancient Roman saint’s name Valerius.

Wyatt: From the Medieval name Wyot, which ultimately came from the Middle English words for battle and brave.

Xavier (ZAY-vee-er):  From name of a 16th Century Spanish saint, Francis Xavier. His name was a Romanized version of his birthplace Exteberri, which meant new house in Basque.

Yuri (YOUR-ee): An alternate spelling of Yuriy, the Russian version of George, which ultimately comes from the Greek word georgós meaning farmer.

Zeno (ZEE-no): From the Greek name Zenon, derived from the name of mythological god of the thunder and the sky, Zeus.


Let’s hope we don’t go through the whole list this year….  The feature image was taken in Alaska – reminds me of the jobs we would get back in the 70’s shoveling roofs in Maine – though I have had to shovel mine the past couple decades a few times.

Below is the current snowfall depth – this will auto update.



Weather Forecast

filel1026The overall pattern through the end of the work week will be active, particularly across the western United States where moderate to heavy rainfall is likely.

A complex array of systems over the eastern Pacific will collectively keep conditions wet along the entire West Coast. Initially, the action should be confined to northwestern California up along the Pacific Northwest coast into Vancouver Island.

Continued onshore flow coupled with energetics with each disturbance passage will spread abundant rainfall across the northwestern states with the highest amounts over orographically favored locations. This includes the Siskiyou Ranges up into the Olympics and Cascades where 2 to 4 inches of precipitation is likely through Thursday morning.

As time proceeds forward, a second major system swings toward the Southern/Central California coast by midday Thursday. This will spread well needed rainfall from the San Francisco Bay Area southward down into Los Angeles and San Diego. And of course western slopes of the Sierra Nevada Range can expect abundant rainfall with lighter amounts further downstream given downsloping effects.

Wintry precipitation does not appear to be a big issue given the warm nature of the weather pattern. An upper trough migrating through the Middle Mississippi Valley is currently dropping locally heavy rainfall to areas of the Upper Midwest/Upper Great Lakes. This is generally occurring near the parent surface cyclone and just north of the west-east oriented frontal zone. Given the current forecast track of these features, expect the most organized rainfall from southern Wisconsin/northern Illinois eastward across the Lower Great Lakes into much of New England.

A marginal flash flood risk accompanies this broad region, particularly around the Minnesota/Wisconsin/Iowa border. Meanwhile, there should be enough cold air present at some of the higher elevations of interior New England to support light to moderate accumulations of snow. At this point, the highest accumulations are expected to be over the Adirondacks where 4 to 8 inches are expected.

Generally speaking, the pattern for the rest of the work week will feature well above normal temperatures. The exception to this rule is over the Great Lakes and northeastern U.S. where the threat of rainfall and enhanced cloud cover will keep readings below normal. Before this upper trough arrives into the Mid-Atlantic/New England region, a strong surface ridge has brought near to below freezing temperatures to much of the area this morning.

Looking to the warmth across the center of the country, a building ridge will favor very mild temperatures for late October. In fact, by Thursday, expect the mercury to reach the 80 degree Fahrenheit mark as far north as southern South Dakota. The largest departures from normal are expected over the Central/Northern High Plains with readings possibly 15 to 25 degrees above climatology.

For us Wednesday is shaping up to be a raw day with rain, changing to snow at times in portions of Central Michigan, and blustery winds. Minor accumulation on grass is possible, most likely north of Big Rapids & Mount Pleasant. Rain is expected everywhere else, totaling over a half inch in most areas.


Day Planner

Rain gear is not an option – look at the ‘feels like’ temperatures – definitely a cold raw day.


Forecast Discussion

SHORT TERM…

No significant changes to the forecast philosophy with this storm as model guidance is consistent with previous runs. Still a tough call as the snow potential across the northern zones with marginal sfc temps. Do not expect any winter weather impacts from this event. Wet bulb zero heights are still progged to be near the ground across the northern forecast area tonight. We will mention a rain snow mix across the northern zones beginning late today and continuing tonight.

The high ground of Osceola County could see light accums of wet snow on non paved surfaces by late tonight. Thunder threat is minimal and confined to the far southern zones where some elevated instability is present today and tonight. Will include slight chance of thunder along the southern tier. .

LONG TERM..

We continue to see a trend of somewhat drier weather expected in the long term compared to previous forecasts over the past couple of days. There is still some chances of rain, but definitely less than before. The first round of rain chances look to come late Fri night and early on Sat. This is one of the periods that has trended drier from 24 hours ago.

The sfc low and associated warm front are a bit further north, focusing the llj and rain further north also. The chance of rain will come when the front slips through the area late Fri night and early Sat. This front will be moisture starved at that time due to the llj and moisture transport remaining further north.

We will see another chance of rain then for Sat night. A wave of low pressure will ride along the frontal boundary that hangs up south of the area. This looks to be focused on Sat night, with rain chances exiting by the daylight hours on Sun.

We should see a fairly dry and increasingly mild period for Sun through Mon. Some initially cooler air will be in place on Sun behind the departing front from Sat. High pressure overhead on Sun will slip east by Monday, and advect much warmer air over the area as low pressure intensifies over the Plains and upper Midwest. We could see highs touch 70 with h850 temps potentially warming to over 10c.


Six Day Forecast


Point Forecasts

Grand Rapids
Grand Rapids
Lansing
Lansing
Holland
Holland

Muskegon
Muskegon
South Haven
South Haven
Kalamazoo
Kalamazoo


15 on "2016-2017 Winter Storm Names"

Notify of
avatar
Sort by:   newest | oldest
SlimJim
Getting light rain here with a very cool temperature of 38° now at my house. With the forecasted high today in the mid 40’s Today looks to be the coldest October 26th since 2001 and the 3rd coldest in the last 30 years While the coldest maximum for the date… Read more »
SlimJim
With it now being late October time to once again take a look at some ideas for the upcoming winter. Will it be cold and snowy (as several outlooks have indicated) or near average or will the trend for warmer than average continue? IMME for DJF Temperatures http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/imme/IMME_tmp2m_us_season2.png\ IMME for… Read more »
ROCKY (Rockford)

Awesome picture of the snow in AK. I do not have a problem with TWC naming winter storms, especially because a couple years ago they named a big storm “ROCKY”! In another month or so I will be ready to see some accumulating snows.

Mark (East Lansing)

Welcome back, Rocky!

SlimJim
I put this long range winter outlook late last night will also have it posted in my post on Saturday. http://www.midwestweather.org/2016/10/official-midwest-2016-2017-winter.html?m=1 Looks like a lot thought went into this long range guess. Of course we will have to see if it’s the right or not. Hint most but NOT all… Read more »
ROCKY (Rockford)

While I do not like the looks of their winter forecast, I do feel they are a very reputable source and nailed the last two winter forecasts.

SlimJim

Dont like their forecast of below average temperatures and above average snow fall?? Hum What you turn into a warm weather lover in your old age. Bet you did not read the whole forecast did you?
slimJim

ROCKY (Rockford)

Good call Slim, I was looking at last years data and forecast. I took another look at their actual forecast for this winter and it looks promising for snow lovers. Bring it on.

GunLakeDeb
This is, in the immortal words of Fixxxer – a truly craptastic day. My weather station is showing 1.38″ of rain so far. The “late September/early October warm spell” I read about a couple of days ago can begin any time 😉 Glad I got all my outdoor projects done… Read more »
ROCKY (Rockford)

+1

Sandy (Hudsonville)

We still have a couple more to do. Now we have to wait for everything to dry up. Saturday looks good to wrap it up. 🙂

wpDiscuz