A lot to talk about this morning, not for Michigan – If you are planning a trip to eastern Texas – don’t… this is our first major hurricane of the season. September 8th marks the 117th anniversary of the great Galveston hurricane. The Great Galveston Hurricane was a Category 4 storm, with winds of up to 145 mph (233 km/h), which made landfall on September 8, 1900, in Galveston, Texas, in the United States, leaving about 6,000 to 12,000 dead. It remains to the present day the deadliest natural disaster in US history.
The second-deadliest storm to strike the United States, the 1928 Okeechobee hurricane, caused more than 2,500 deaths, and the deadliest storm of recent times, Hurricane Katrina, claimed the lives of approximately 1,800 people. Below are some photos from the Galveston Storm.
Harvey is now at category 2 hurricane. Forecast models are below. Another area to keep an eye on is storm development off the coast of eastern Florida – the gulf and Atlantic waters (around Florida) are warm (in the 80’s)…
HRRR and Futurecast models runs are for 12 hours beginning at 7am – a second model run begins at 3pm
Day and Week Planner
This feature has auto location.
High pressure will bring fair weather into the weekend. There will be a chance of showers by Saturday night and Sunday as low pressure moves towards the Great Lakes.
(Click Images to Enlarge)
Only weather to speak of in the near term is showers moving in on Saturday night. Fair weather expected until then with dry soundings indicating diurnal temperature ranges will be greater than guidance and have adjusted maxes and mins in that direction.
Warm advection “wing” expected to develop Saturday night as sfc low approaches from the west with isentropic ascent increasing and showers developing and moving in after midnight. Instability is quite limited and thunder will be left out of the forecast for now. .
An upper low is expected to be over the Western Great Lakes to start the extended period. Good agreement in the models showing a surface reflection of this feature will also be over the Western Great Lakes in the form of a north/south trough.
The pattern will support showers for the Sunday night through Tuesday time frame. As the upper low drifts east into OH by Tuesday/Tuesday night, surface high pressure should gradually build in from the north. The rains should diminish from north to south Tuesday night. The large Canadian high should supply a drier northeast flow into Wed and Thu. Temps look rather uniform with highs remaining in the 70s. However as the rains exit we should be a touch warmer by Thursday with temps approaching 80.