Irma is Cat One This Morning

Irma is Cat One This Morning

posted in: irma, Weather Forecast | 5

Hurricane Jose is meandering around the Atlantic like a drunken sailor while Irma continues its path of destruction as it continues northward.

Hurricane Irma weakened to a Category 1 storm early Monday after plunging millions of Floridians into darkness.

No deaths were confirmed Sunday after the storm twice made landfall, but the extent of the damage after a day of triple-digit winds and raging waters couldn’t fully be assessed until daybreak.

Florida’s largest utility reported that the storm had knocked out power to nearly three-quarters of its customers.

Many streets in Miami were submerged, and three construction cranes collapsed in Miami and Fort Lauderdale.

By 5 a.m. ET Monday, Irma had sustained winds of 75 mph as it moved further inland, about 60 miles north of Tampa.

Hurricane-force winds were extending outward up to 60 miles from Irma’s center, and tropical-storm-force winds were being felt up to 415 miles away, the National Hurricane Center said early Monday.

Georgia authorities told 540,000 residents to leave the coast and South Carolina ordered nearly 45,000 people to evacuate as Irma was expected to arrive Monday.

Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal expanded the state’s emergency declaration to cover all 159 counties on Sunday and closed the state government at least through Tuesday.  (source NBC News)


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Irma
Jose
Jose

HRRR Futurecast

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Futurecast
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Wind Gusts

For us here in Michigan we will be warming up –  a cool 42° here at the Weather Center in Otsego at 7am.  We have had a meager .53 of an inch of rain thus far this month.

High pressure will continue to provide sunny and pleasant weather today and Tuesday, with warmer high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Some cloudiness, and perhaps a few showers, will spread into the region on Wednesday as the remains of Irma moves through the Ohio Valley Region. Above normal temperatures will continue into next weekend.


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HRRR and Futurecast models runs are for 12 hours beginning at 7am – a second model run begins at 3pm

 






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Marquette
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Gaylord
Detroit
Detroit
Grand Rapids
Grand Rapids

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Rain Forecast
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SHORT TERM…

Main challenge in the short term is the extent of clouds and showers as old Irma circulation tracks by to the south. Models are in good agreement showing a considerable moisture surge from the south at 850 mb on Wednesday with the help of 20-30 kt southerly flow on the east side of the circulation. Therefore confidence is fairly high that we will see increasing clouds – at least for areas south and east of GRR late Tuesday night into Wednesday. Confidence is lower however for clouds making it north and west of GRR where ridging will be hanging on.

As far as shower potential/coverage, will side with the more conservative/lighter QPF solutions shown by the GFS/ECMWF as opposed to the ambitious looking NAM. With the moisture expected to be relatively shallow and below 700 mb, it would seem that any showers would be widely scattered and on the lighter side, so only 20-30 pops warranted. Otherwise just some thin cirrus pushing in from the south later today into Tuesday. Morning commute sun glare will have impacts for east bound travelers. .

LONG TERM…

The remnants of Irma will just be an upper low by the extended periods. We may continue to see widely scattered light showers into Wednesday evening, but then they should dissipate as the system continues to weaken. Upper ridging builds back into the region Friday and Saturday, with a southerly flow at the surface. The next front from the west will be slow to arrive while Irma exits to the east, so expect much of next weekend will be dry. Temps will be at or slightly above normal from 75 to 80 each day, with a slight uptick possible by Sunday.


5 on "Irma is Cat One This Morning"

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ROCKY (Rockford)

GR will see no rain from Irma.

SlimJim
I was looking at the news from the 4 TV stations in Fort Myers and from what I can see there was no major flooding (like in Huston) At this time no pictures or video of major damage to any structures. I am sure there are a lot of houses… Read more »
Gun Lake Deb
I’m hearing good news from FL: the Space Coast/Brevard County took a beating, but the major damage came from a spin-up tornado hitting a trailer park in Pam Bay. Our condo complex is littered with tree debris and someone lost a sunroom, they have no power and minimal water pressure… Read more »
Sandy (Hudsonville)

This is good news. It could have been much worse. Hopefully power will be on for everyone there soon. I know they are saying weeks but there are alot of crews headed there.

Jack Edwards

A lot of FLORIDA….Dodged a BULLET..IMHO….
Here is Photo of The DAY..From Aurora BOREALIS Home Page…
One of MY FAVS.
https://softservenews-6eg3vi45jxatmx1gteg.stackpathdns.com/photos/large/1376510_10202459701440568_102710216_n.jpg

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