The lawn is turning brown, but being the optimist I don’t have to mow it. Most of Allegan County has had less than a tenth of an inch of rain over the past 11 days. We have a heat wave coming starting Sunday with very little rain in the forecast. The corn and soybeans in area fields have been struggling to come up and with the temperatures rising to near 90° by Sunday many crops without irrigation will suffer.
High pressure will bring dry weather through Thursday with low humidity. (The HRRR models are trying to bring in a few scattered showers today from the low pressure still spinning to our east.) A weak front may bring a few showers by late Thursday night into Friday (about a 35% chance at this point) followed by more fair weather for the weekend.
There is free fishing this weekend – you can fish without a license. I can imagine the piers of lake Michigan will be crowded – inland lakes hold lots of bass, pike, walleye and bluegills – so if you want to try this sport to see how you like it, go and give it a try.
HRRR and Futurecast models runs are for 18 hours beginning at 7am – a second model run begins at 3pm
Day and Week Planner
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Fair weather through the near term as sfc high dominates with low humidity and below normal temperatures. There could be some isolated showers across the extreme eastern zones this afternoon as lapse rates are step enough to allow some diurnally enhanced showers but chance is low enough to leave out of the forecast for now. .
Northwest upper flow will take control late in the work week as the upper low to our east moves toward the East Coast. A weak surface boundary over the Northern Great Lakes should make progress south Thu night and Friday, and along with a couple of short waves within the upper flow, we could see a few showers and storms move through in the late Thursday night and Friday periods.
The surface boundary appears to wash out by Friday night, leading to the start of another dry period. Temps will remain coolish under the northwest flow. Upper ridging is indicated over the Western Great Lakes by the middle of weekend, while at the surface a southerly flow develops.
This will begin warm advection and the start of temps pushing to at or above the norms. The upper ridge is progged to move to our east mid day Sunday. This will bring deep southwest flow and push H8 temps to around +20C. Surface temps well into the 80s should be seen Sunday and Monday. It appears the upper ridge will hold off any additional rain to our west through Monday.