Welcome to June

Welcome to June

posted in: Weather Forecast | 5

Getting a bit dry in southern Michigan, we have an elevated fire danger until the rain possibilities increase on Saturday.  The farmers around here have their corn and soybeans in the ground and they are trying to come up.  The nice thing about the new hybrids is when the rain does hit them they grow in bursts and bounds.

My wife and I have been watering (her more than me).  I am not as keen on a green lawn as I used to be (hate having to mow twice a week).  I used to have a lawn a greens keeper would be proud of.

High pressure will provide pleasant weather today and tomorrow with sunshine, highs in the 70s, and low humidity. Low pressure and a warm front will bring periods of showers and thunderstorms over the weekend.


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HRRR and Futurecast models runs are for 18 hours beginning at 7am – a second model run begins at 3pm

 






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Forecast Discussion

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Marquette
Marquette
Gaylord
Gaylord
Detroit
Detroit
Grand Rapids
Grand Rapids

Rain Forecast
Rain Forecast
Cloud Cover
Cloud Cover
Dew Points
Dew Points
Cloud Cover
Cloud Cover

SHORT TERM…

Forecast soundings today and Friday show deep dry adiabatic lapse rates mixing down some very dry air in the afternoon. Have therefore lowered sfc dew pts and RHs. Typically high temperatures over perform in dry air masses such as this, so have also bumped up high temperatures a few degrees.

Models suggest a few showers impacting northeast Lower MI tonight as a shortwave pivots around the Quebec upper low. Have maintained low pops late tonight north and east of a Ludington to Alma line, but considering the dry air mass it may just be a few sprinkles if anything at all.

Attention in later periods turns to the warm front approaching from the west. This feature has some difficulty advancing into the area as shearing northwest flow aloft persists on the periphery of the Quebec upper low. It really takes until Saturday afternoon for better shower/tstm potential to arrive when higher theta-e air pushes in from the southwest and MU Capes rise above 1000 J/KG. .

LONG TERM…

Saturday through Monday looks like our best chance of rain. A clipper-like system is progd to move across the UP Saturday night. Ahead of the low, showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop in the warm advection pattern. The ecmwf also shows a strong short wave behind the sfc low. Shear values increase a bit Saturday night to 35 knots which is enough to get some organization going.

Not too impressed with precipitable water values, though, so flooding concerns may be kept in check. After the low moves by Sunday, another shot of cooler and drier air will follow and highs Monday and Tuesday will be in the 60s and then being rising to the 70s by the end of the week.


5 on "Welcome to June"

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SlimJim
Welcome to June and the start of the summer season. Looking back at May 2017 the mean temperature here in GR was 57.6° (-1.1°) the average high/low was 68.0°/47.1° we had only 1.50” of rain at GR (3.98” is average) the warmest day was a very warm 88° on the… Read more »
Jack Edwards

Happy…..JUNE!!!!

Jack Edwards

CUE…..

New Riders Of The Purple Sage – Whatcha Gonna Do? – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DphpFahhIGE

INDY

This weather is just about perfecttt other then no storms …yeaaaa! INDY!!

ROCKY (Rockford)

May = another below normal tempo month! What a cool stretch we are in!

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